2/21/22, 1:44 AM


Chris Paul is reportedly out 6-8 weeks with a thumb avulsion fracture. NBA Playoffs start in 7 weeks, so will the injury impact the Suns? Probably not. Here’s why:

(1) 6-8 weeks is a relatively conservative estimate here. These injuries used to keep athletes out for longer, but with modern surgical technique that average is now 5 weeks.

(2) The fact that a piece of bone broke off here actually helps him. Bone-to-bone healing is faster than ligament-to-bone healing. The 5-week timeline above includes athletes who needed ligaments to heal to bone. If anything, Paul should be on the lower side there. (For the medically curious, the thumb ulnar collateral ligament is the key here.)

(3) The injury hasn’t tended to decrease NBA player production once they get back to the court. Expect his ramp up to take no more than 1-2 weeks.

Data is pretty thoroughly in his favor here. The Suns betting odds are 4.5 to 1 for the championship and 1.8 to 1 for the Western Conference. If those numbers start to creep upwards, you’ll find us at Caesars putting in our Phoenix Suns “investments”.

Photo Credit: Melissa Tamez, Icon Sportswire