7/20/21, 3:31 AM
Expect Adams to pick up right where he left off as a top 5 finisher in receptions, yards, and TDs. He has only played 16 games in 2 of 7 seasons, and is at a slightly elevated risk of recurrent issues with hamstring and turf toe. Overall, mildly elevated risk levels for long-term, but relatively safe for 2021.
2020 - Hamstring strain (2 games missed)
2019 - Turf toe (Week 4; 4 games missed)
2018 - Right knee (likely sprain; Week 16; missed 1 game)
2017 - Concussion x2 (missed 2 games)
2016 - Concussion (no games missed)
2015 - Ankle sprain (missed 3 games)
2020 - 14/16
2019 - 12/16
2018 - 15/16
2017 - 14/16
2016 - 16/16
2015 - 13/16
2014 - 16/16
Adams was a TD machine last year, leading all WRs with 18 despite missing 2 games with a hamstring strain. No reason to believe that level of performance is not going to continue going forward.
As a speed position player, Adams is more prone to hamstring strains than the average NFL player. Additionally, his history of turf toe (2019) carries some risk of recurrence going out even ~5 years. Couple these with the fact that he’s missed 1 or more games in 5 out of 7 seasons, and it gives us mildly elevated long-term risk. In the short-term, Adams is relatively safe for his position.
Image Source: Keith Allison, CC-BY-SA-2.0